Baseball analysis from public data, every figure sourced and dated

MLBAnalytic

Est. 2026

Baseball, run through the numbers.

Final 2026 regular season: 2,429 games, 8.96 runs a game

Data Deep-Dives

October Bullpens: The Club That Needs More Pitchers Usually Loses

Since 2010 the postseason club that used fewer pitchers won 320 of 482 games, 66.4%, against 52.4% in the regular season. Why the count only matters in October.

Two-panel line chart on newsprint paper titled in October the club that needs more pitchers usually loses; in the regular season the count says almost nothing. Left panel, win share by pitchers used, 2010 to 2025. Postseason in red with 95 percent ranges: one or two pitchers 73.0 percent, three 63.7, four 54.8, five 44.7, six 41.2, seven 39.4, eight or more 42.0. Regular season in ink: 57.0, 49.7, 49.1, 49.6, 49.4, 48.1 and 45.2. Right panel, pitchers used per club per game by runs the club allowed in innings one to five. Postseason: zero runs 4.17, one 4.57, two 4.94, three 5.07, four 5.51, five or more 5.54. Regular season: 3.75, 4.05, 4.22, 4.33, 4.39 and 4.51.
Left: how often a club won, by the number of pitchers it used, 2010–2025 postseason against the regular season. Right: pitchers used by runs allowed in the first five innings. Data: Retrosheet postseason and regular-season game logs, matched to the MLB Stats API postseason file (retrieved 2026-10-08).

In Game 2 of the National League Championship Series on October 12, the Dodgers used eight pitchers and lost 7–4 in Milwaukee. The Brewers used five. Any October box score looks like that now: a line of relievers on each side, and a broadcast graphic counting how many arms each bullpen has left. What the graphic rarely says is that the count itself is one of the better clues to who won.

We counted the pitchers each club used in every postseason game since 1903 and in every regular-season game since 2010. In the regular season the count tells you almost nothing. From 2010 through 2025, when the two clubs used different numbers of pitchers, the one that used fewer won 52.4% of the time. In the postseason over the same years it won 320 of 482 games, or 66.4%. Clubs that got through a postseason game with three pitchers or fewer won 66.5% of the time, and clubs that needed six or more won 40.9%. In the regular season those two groups won 51.7% and 48.7%.

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Final standings

2026 regular season, ended Sep 27

x won division; y wild card. Diff is runs scored minus runs allowed. The Yankees and Orioles played 161: their Sep 27 game was rained out and not made up. Source: MLB Stats API, retrieved Oct 5, 2026.
ClubWLPctGBDiff
AL East
x-Rays9864.605—+86
y-Yankees9368.5784.5+138
y-Red Sox8775.53711.0+78
Orioles7982.49118.5−21
Blue Jays7983.48819.0−46
AL Central
x-Guardians8577.525—+11
y-White Sox8478.5191.0+56
Twins7785.4758.0−58
Tigers7686.4699.0+71
Royals6993.42616.0−120
AL West
x-Astros8181.500—−32
Rangers8082.4941.0−46
Mariners7686.4695.0−58
Athletics6498.39517.0−238
Angels62100.38319.0−97
NL East
x-Braves9468.580—+116
y-Phillies8874.5436.0+15
Marlins8082.49414.0+3
Nationals7785.47517.0+6
Mets7488.45720.0−32
NL Central
x-Brewers10359.636—+214
y-Cubs8973.54914.0+147
Pirates8280.50621.0+28
Cardinals7785.47526.0−29
Reds7587.46328.0−160
NL West
x-Dodgers10062.617—+201
y-Padres9171.5629.0+41
D-backs8676.53114.0+9
Giants6597.40135.0−91
Rockies58104.35842.0−192

Leaders

2026 final, all 30 clubs

Run differential

1Brewers+214
2Dodgers+201
3Cubs+147
4Yankees+138
5Braves+116

Wins above expected

1Reds+9.8
2Rays+7.8
3Padres+5.7
4Phillies+5.4
5Athletics+4.2

Wins below expected

1Tigers−12.6
2Angels−8.8
3Giants−6.6
4Rockies−6.4
5Cubs−5.9

Expected wins from runs scored and allowed, Pythagorean exponent 1.83.

Runs a game, both teams

20239.23
20248.79
20258.89
20268.96

Best offense: Cubs, 5.25 runs a game. Fewest: Blue Jays, 4.00. The 1.25 gap is the narrowest of any full season since 2010.

All figures from The 2026 MLB Regular Season, By the Numbers.

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